Uncertainty Quantification in Computational Models

Posterior distributions for Stokes Model parameters generated using Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. (Figure 4 in UQ_Group4)

Course advisor - Dr. Robert Moser

Collaborators - Shane McQuarrie, Caleb Phillips, Bassel Saleh

We tackled the following problems:

• Calibration of Stokes Drag with laboratory measurement data collected at UIUC
• Calibration of EBM model for climate change to surface temperature data
• Bayesian Model selection for opacity parameter of the EBM climate model
• Use of MCMC sampling to sample high dimensional posterior distributions

The reports can be found here.